Date & Time: 06/24/202 11:00 AM MST
Forecaster: Henz, D.
We had an active day yesterday with widespread showers and t-storms bringing early season rain around the state. Looking at the big picture, the trough to our west will begin to break down today with drier westerly flow dominating across AZ Friday and Saturday. We could still see a few isolated showers/t-storms into this evening before conditions fully dry out. Moving ahead, the monsoon ridge will reform initially across the Pacific Northwest before likely sinking south into the Great Basin by next week. This will allow for a noticeable warming trend this weekend with highs returning towards excessive heat values before potentially another active monsoon setup into next week.
For today plan on mostly sunny skies into the early afternoon. Daytime temperatures will warm into the 102˚F-105˚F range around the Valley. Southwest winds will generally hover in the 5-10mph range with localized greater gusts around 15-20mph. As mentioned above, lingering moisture and additional heating will allow for isolated storm activity this afternoon/evening. Most this activity will be limited to the higher terrain areas north and east of the Valley, but we can’t rule out a storm or two building near the Gila Bend area and drifting northeast into portions of the Valley bringing brief downpours, gusty winds, and lightning.
For tomorrow plan on dry conditions and plenty of sun across the region. Afternoon highs will rebound back into the 106˚F-108˚F range around the Valley. Variable winds will remain in the 5-10mph range with localized afternoon/evening greater gusts. No storm activity is expected around the County. Heading into the weekend, plan on another heat wave as temperatures trend back towards the 110˚F mark. Hot conditions are likely to continue into the start of next week, though we are hoping to see another transition into an active monsoon pattern. We’ll have more details on this in the coming days as more information becomes available.